The Impact of COVID-19 on Stock Market in China
Nan Lia, Yuhong Zhub

Author information


a Department of Finance, Antai College of Economics and Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200030, China

b School of Economics, Singapore Management University, 178903, Singapore

E-mail: nanli@sjtu.edu.cn (Nan Li, corresponding author), yhzhu.2021@phdecons.smu.edu.sg (Yuhong Zhu)  

Abstract


This paper studies the impact of the COVID-19 on the stock ambiguity, risks, liquidity, and stock prices in China stock market, before and after the outbreak of COVID-19 during the Chinese Spring Festival holidays in 2020. We measure stock ambiguity using the intraday trading data. The outbreak of COVID-19 has a significant impact on the average stock ambiguity, risk, and illiquidity in China and induces structural break in the market average ambiguity. However, the equity premium and liquidity premium change little during the same period. The market average stock ambiguity and risks decrease, and stock liquidity improves to pre-pandemic levels as the pandemic is under control in China. The market average stock ambiguity and risks in China increase again when the confirmed new cases in the U.S. surge in the second half of 2020. We also find a “flight-to-liquidity” phenomenon, and the equally-weighted (value-weighted) 20-trading-day liquidity premium declined significantly to about –4.42% (–6.48%) during the fourth quarter of 2020.

Keywords


ambiguity, Knightian uncertainty, liquidity, liquidity premium, COVID-19

Cite this article


Nan Li, Yuhong ZhuThe Impact of COVID-19 on Stock Market in China. Front. Econ. China2021, 16(4): 714–743 https://doi.org/10.54605/fec20210406

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